We're over a week from Election Day, and the vote-counting still ongoing. Currently, three races are commanding the media's attention, but there are plenty of other interesting things happening out there if you look beyond just Florida and Georgia. Because while the Election Day news for Democrats was good, it has only grown better and better since then -- even if few in the media are still paying attention. Today I thought it'd be worth it to take a look at all the other late election returns, which might be classified not so much as a blue tsunami (crashing ashore quickly) but rather as a sort of blue high tide -- a slow rise over time that eventually hits a high-water mark. Because that's exactly what is happening out there.

Before I delve into the numbers, I should mention two things. The first is that I've been following the results on the New York Times election webpage, but I believe they are actually getting their numbers from the Associated Press. The second is that in comparing what happened on Election Night to what has happened since, I am relying solely on my own memory of events, so I could be wrong about some of what happened (in specific, the timing of when things happened). My apologies in advance if memory does not serve correctly.

The current state of affairs is that Democrats keep doing better and better as time goes by. There were, to the best of my memory, 18 House races left undecided last Wednesday morning. There are now only eight races which have not been called yet. The current tally is that Democrats have successfully flipped a net gain of 34 House seats, giving them (so far) a total of 229 seats in the incoming House. Republicans have only held onto 198 seats.

Before we get to the uncalled races, let's take a look at the races that have been called since last Tuesday night. Normally, the party which is in the lead after the first round of ballot-counting usually winds up winning the seat. It's pretty rare that flips happen after Election Night, but they do occasionally occur. This time around, there are only two possible seats which may eventually flip from an Election Night Democratic lead to an eventual Republican win. The first was Minnesota's first district (MN-1), which is where my memory is a little fuzzy, I have to admit. I believe that on Election Night it was leaning Democratic and was subsequently called for the Republican, but I could be remembering the timing wrong (this may have actually all happened late on Election Night itself, in other words). The only other candidate left for a surprise Republican victory is in the 23rd district in Texas. But TX-23 is still officially undecided, even though the Republican is currently holding on to a slim lead. So it could conceivably flip back again.

Over on the Democratic side, the numbers are much more impressive. At least six races have flipped in the late counting, and at least one additional race may eventually wind up in the Democratic column as well. All seven of these races come from four states: Georgia (GA-6), New Jersey (NJ-3), New Mexico (NM-2), and California (CA-10, CA-48, CA-49, and possibly CA-45 as well). The icing on this particular cake, though, came from the Senate, where Kyrsten Sinema came from behind to win the Arizona Senate race by roughly 38,000 votes.

When you look at the overall picture, the gains were even more stark for the Democrats. Republicans managed to flip three House seats overall, but only in two states -- Minnesota and Pennsylvania. In Pennsylvania, this was partly because a new redistricting map was imposed after the Republican-gerrymandered one was thrown out by the state's supreme court. Republicans picked up one of these new districts, while Democrats picked up the one next door, meaning that both victories were likely the result of the new district lines, and nothing more. This would leave the Republicans with only two authentically-successful flips, both in the same state.

Democrats, on the other hand, flipped at least a single House district in at least 19 states so far. They may add to this total when the outstanding races in Utah and Maine are finalized, too. That is a pretty stark difference to the Republican record, you've got to admit. Democrats flipped House districts in deep red states like Oklahoma and Kansas, as well as in blue states like California and New Jersey. Democrats swept the board in New Mexico, which will now no longer have a single House member from the GOP. They came close to doing so in New Jersey and Iowa as well.

As I mentioned, the Democrats have already picked up a net gain of 34 seats. This total could go higher, though, when the last eight races are called. Currently, the Democrats lead outright in three of these races: in California (CA-45), in New York (NY-22), and in Utah (UT-4). Republicans currently lead in five races: in California (CA-39), in Maine (ME-2), in Georgia (GA-7), in New York (NY-27), and in Texas (TX-23). But of these races at least two might still flip to the Democrats. The California race is down to a gap of fewer than 1,000 votes, and the Maine race is in a class by itself. Maine is the first state to use instant-runoff voting for House seats, and while the Republican won the first round by around 1,900 votes, there will likely be two more rounds of tallying before a winner is declared. There were four candidates in the race, including two Independents. One of the Independents only got about 2,000 votes, but the other one got 16,500. The second and third choices of those voters will determine the winner of the race, but it's a pretty safe bet that most of these ranked-choice votes will probably go to the challenger (the Republican candidate is the incumbent). And there's only a deficit of 1,900 votes to make up, so with over 18,000 votes still up for grabs, this is entirely possible. If Democrats pick up all three races where they are currently ahead, they will wind up with a total of 232 House seats, for a 37-seat pickup. If one of the other two possible races flips, these numbers will both go up by one, and if both of them flip, Democrats could wind up with 234 seats for a 39-seat pickup.

Or, to put it another way, this was indeed a blue wave election. It's hard to call a reversal of that magnitude anything else, really.

On top of the impressive and historic gains in the House, Democrats also picked up at least seven governors' races, bringing the two parties a lot closer to parity among all 50 states. In the Senate, Republicans currently have only picked up a net of one seat, after flipping three states (North Dakota, Indiana, and Missouri) while losing in two others (Nevada and Arizona). This net gain would not be affected if Republicans win the runoff for the Mississippi Senate seat (in a few weeks), but would be increased by one if they manage to secure a win in the Florida Senate race. Still, Democrats holding Republicans to only a two-seat pickup is also pretty impressive, especially when you consider it wasn't all that long ago the GOP was dreaming of picking up nine seats to secure a filibuster-proof majority. This, obviously, didn't even come close to happening.

The bad news, from where I'm sitting, is that Democrats are probably going to lose the three big races everyone is now concentrating on. In Georgia, Stacey Abrams will be lucky to even force a runoff election. Even if she does, she is currently down by almost 60,000 votes, which would be incredibly hard to make up in a runoff situation. In Florida, there is an outside chance that Democratic Senator Bill Nelson will squeak out a win when all the votes are counted (that's if all the votes get counted -- always an open question, in Florida), but he's got over 10,000 votes to make up. That's a lot, and recounts don't usually move the needle by this order of magnitude. The chances for a win in the governor's race is even more remote, as the gap is even wider. So Democrats should be very cautious about raising their expectations for these three races all that high, because the likelihood of victory in any one of them isn't all that great.

But -- just like on Election Night -- don't let the media fool you into thinking things are worse for Democrats than they actually are. Even if Democrats eventually lose all three races in Florida and Georgia, they still continue to pick up close House races at the same time. My best guess is that Democrats will wind up with 233 House seats for a total midterm pickup of 38 seats. This would be 15 seats over the minimum majority of 218. It would give them a 31-seat advantage over the Republicans (who would wind up with 202 seats). On Election Night, the numbers were a lot lower, showing Democrats only winning a little over 220 seats -- which wasn't all that impressive. But 233 seats is a lot more noteworthy, and will give the Democrats a much more comfortable buffer after they take control in January. Perception is one thing -- losses in the Georgia and Florida recounts will be disappointing if they come to pass -- but reality is another. And the reality is that the Democratic blue wave did indeed arrive, it was just rather slow in coming ashore. Keep this in mind, while the Florida and Georgia dramas play out.

-- Chris Weigant

Follow Chris on Twitter: @ChrisWeigant